Trakx Weekly Update: Iran Peace Catalyst Unlocks Capital for Risky Assets

Key Crypto Market Figures

CTIs Weekly Performance

The digital asset space showcased a relative momentum this week, with DeFi-focused strategies spearheading the market rally. The Trakx Top 10 DeFi CTI surged by 15.2% over the seven-day period, outstripping all other thematic indices in our lineup. Close behind, the Decentralized Exchange CTI climbed 12.9%, while the DePi index achieved a respectable 10.2% return. When measured against traditional finance benchmarks, both Bitcoin and Ether lagged behind equity markets, as the S&P 500 managed a modest 1% increase since the month began. Notably, emerging themes such as AI and DePin maintained their upward trajectory, recording monthly gains of 12.9% and 10.2% respectively.

Conversely, certain thematic segments continued to face pressure. The Cardano Ecosystem CTI experienced the steepest weekly retreat at -3.3%, signaling persistent structural challenges for several veteran layer-1 protocols. The Gaming sector has declined 6.5% month-to-date, and the Trakx Gaming index saw a 2.3% dip. These performance gaps highlight a widening split between the robust DeFi sector and legacy crypto stories as 2026 progresses.

Strait of Hormuz: The macro pivot scenario

Preliminary US-Iran negotiations on sanctions relief could trigger a 15-25% oil price correction (Brent to $95-100) within weeks. Powell explicitly flagged oil above $120 as a second-round inflation risk; normalization would reshape the Fed’s easing timeline and potentially lower 30-year yields by 50-75bp.

Sources: Trakx, Coingecko, Alphavantage

Market Trends

• Hyperliquid (HYPE) ATH: $62.51. BHYP ETF on NYSE Arca; Bitwise allocating 10% of fees to HYPE purchases. Institutional DEX legitimacy : CoinDesk
• Bank of England 24/7 Settlement Live. Synchronisation Lab with 18 firms (Chainlink, SWIFT, HSBC, Euroclear). Central bank tokenization infrastructure validated: The Block
• Ethereum AI Agents Live. Protocol-level intelligent agents transacting in ETH; integrated with Fusaka/Glamsterdam updates: OANDA
• Bitmine ETH Holdings 4.3% ($13.4B). Targeting 5% by year-end. Whale conviction signal: OANDA
• Oil >$125 amid US-Iran Tensions. Normalization = 50-75bp yield compression + Fed easing. Macro pivot for institutional reallocation: CoinDesk

Trakx CTIs Performance

Sources: Coingecko and AlphaVantage

*Return of bitcoin is calculated since 01/05/2020, while CTIs performances were calculated since their respective launch date.
**Includes simulated performance.
***The risk signal is determined according to the historical volatility level, the higher the riskier.

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Disclaimers: No Investment Advice. Index returns and statistics are for illustration only. Index returns do not reflect any transaction costs or expenses. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The information provided in this newsletter does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other sort of advice and you should not treat any of the newsletter content as such. Trakx.io does not recommend that any cryptocurrency should be bought, sold, or held by you. Readers shall conduct their own due diligence and consult their financial advisors before making any investment decisions.